ประกาศข่าวแผ่นดินไหว(&การคาดการณ์)

ที่มาเลย์ ได้รับสัญญาณสั่นสะเทือน คาดว่าจะมีแผ่นดินไหว คงมีสัญญาณออกมาใน 15-20 นาทีข้างหน้า

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.4 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/06/14 03:01:28 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 1.853 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 99.150 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 8.2 </td><td valign="top"> NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.5 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/06/14 02:19:37 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 62.882 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -148.732 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 66.4 </td><td valign="top"> CENTRAL ALASKA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.3 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/06/14 00:08:34 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 1.826 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 99.082 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 22.6 </td><td valign="top"> NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

Two quakes hit Sumatra, tremors felt in M'sia

Kuala Lumpur (The Star/ANN) - Two earthquakes hit northern Sumatra Tuesday morning sending tremors that were felt in Selangor, Malacca, Negri Sembilan, Perak, Putrajaya and Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia.The first 5.5-magnitude earthquake hit Sumatra at 8.08am and the second 5.6-magnitude quake hit the same place at 11.01am Tuesday.
Calls came pouring in from Selayang Hospital, KLCC building and other highrises in the Klang Valley in Malaysia as many residents ran out of their buildings.
However, there was no tsunami threat, said the Malaysian Meteorological Department.
Information about damage or casualties has yet to come in.

 

จากการคำนวณคาดว่าพายุสุริยะจะมาถึงโลกประมาณวันที่ 15 มิถุนายน เวลาประมาณ 22 UTC ซึ่งใกล้กับช่วงเวลาที่เกิดจันทรุปราคา มวลหลักจะมาถึงภายในวันที่ 16 มิถุนายน เวลาประมาณ 20 UTC +/- 5 ชั่วโมง ซึ่งผลกระทบต่อโลกอาจจะมีถึงวันที่ 18

จับตาการเรียงตัวของดาวเคราะห์ช่วงวันที่ 1-15 มิถุนายน คศ 2011 : update 15 มิถุนายน 2:08 UTC | Truth4Thai.org

แปลไทยเป็นไทย: คาดพายุสุริยะจะมาถึงโลกประ<wbr>มาณ เช้าตรู่ของ 16 มิถุนายน เวลาประมาณ ตีห้า ซึ่งใกล้กับช่วงเวลาที่เกิด<wbr>จันทรุปราคา มวลหลักจะมาถึง เช้ามืดวันศุกร์ที่ 17 มิถุนา ประมาณ ตี 3 (+/-5 = ห้าทุ่มคืนวันพฤหัสที่ 16 - 8 โมงเช้าวันที่ 17)

วันที่ 14 มิถุนายน เกิดเหตุระเบิดขนาดปานกลาง-ใหญ่ เวลา 10:24 UTC ตามที่คาดการณ์ไว้ด้วยทฤษฏีดาวเคราะห์เรียงตัว ซึ่งจะส่งผลกระทบต่อโลกระหว่างวันที่ 17-19 พฤษภาคม ซึ่งในรูปแบบของแผ่นดินไหวขนาดเกิน 6.3 ริตเตอร์ <table width="200" border="1" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"> <tbody><tr> <td class="rtecenter"> </td> <td class="rtecenter"> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> จากการคำนวณคาดว่าพายุสุริยะจะมาถึงโลกประมาณวันที่ 15 มิถุนายน เวลาประมาณ 22 UTC ซึ่งใกล้กับช่วงเวลาที่เกิดจันทรุปราคา มวลหลักจะมาถึงภายในวันที่ 16 มิถุนายน เวลาประมาณ 20 UTC +/- 5 ชั่วโมง ซึ่งผลกระทบต่อโลกอาจจะมีถึงวันที่ 18

นอกจากนั้นยังเป็นวันที่มีจุดดับ 1234 เรียงตัวกับโลก

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 4.8 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/06/16 01:25:13 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -5.954 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 151.062 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 36.1 </td><td valign="top"> NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 3.8 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/06/16 01:10:43 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 59.664 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -153.364 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap">114.9 </td><td valign="top"> SOUTHERN ALASKA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 2.5 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/06/16 00:09:15 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 51.598 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -176.586 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 45.7 </td><td valign="top"> ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS., ALASKA</td></tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 6.6 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/06/16 00:03:37 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -5.994 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 151.095 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 21.5 </td><td valign="top"> NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA</td></tr></tbody></table><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td valign="top"> </td> <td valign="top" width="30" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">


</td> <td valign="top" width="100%"> Green Earthquake and Tsunami Alert Papua New Guinea </td> <td valign="top"> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> Summary

On 6/16/2011 12:03:40 AM UTC (about 10:09h local time) an earthquake of magnitude 6.6 occurred in the sparsely populated region of East New Britain in Papua New Guinea. The nearest populated places are: [None]. The closest civilian airport is Nutuve (46km).
It is likely that a tsunami was generated. The maximum tsunami wave height near the coast of Leli will be 0.02m. Please refer to the GDACS tsunami report for more details.
Potentially affected critical infrastructure:

• Nuclear plants: [None]
• Hydrodams: [None]
• Airports: Fulleborn (81km), Jacquinot Bay (46km), Nutuve (46km), Gonaili (62km), Hoskins (125km), Uvol (87km), Gonalia (92km), Talasea (167km), Bialla (89km), Tol (140km), Sule (120km), Open Bay (143km), Stockholm (177km)
• Ports: Gasmata (121km), Kimbe (146km), Talasea (166km), Pondo Harbor (165km)

Based on an automated impact model, this earthquake, which occurred in a region with medium vulnerability to natural disasters, has potentially a low humanitarian impact.
Whether international humanitarian aid is needed must be decided by an expert.
<table><tbody><tr><td>Event Date Univ. Time: </td><td>Thu, 6/16/2011 00:03 UTC</td></tr> <tr><td>European Time of the event: </td><td>Thu, 6/16/2011 02:03 CEST (Brussels, Paris, Rome)</td></tr> <tr><td>East America Time of the event: </td><td>Wed, 6/15/2011 19:03 EST (New York, Washington)</td></tr> <tr><td>West America Time of the event: </td><td>Wed, 6/15/2011 16:03 PST (San Francisco, Los Angeles)</td></tr> <tr><td>East Asia Time of the event: </td><td>Thu, 6/16/2011 09:03 JTI (Tokyo)</td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2"> </td></tr> <tr><td colspan="2">This email report was automatically created by a computer at: 6/16/2011 12:20:58 AM UTC (17 minutes after the event)</td></tr> </tbody></table> See the GDACS website for live news coverage (including OCHA Situation Reports), the full earthquake report and tsunami report .
For information on emergency response, please consult the GDACS Virtual OSOCC.

Tsunami Event

It is likely that a tsunami was generated. Based on precalculated scenarios, the maximum tsunami wave height near the coast of Leli will be 0.02m.
A detailed tsunami wave height calculation is ongoing and should be available 20 minutes after this report was created. Results can be slightly different than the precalculated scenario. The outcome can be checked here: GDACS tsunami report .

Travel time map.
Other maps: maximum wave height, animation.
Earthquake Event

Characteristics

• Source: World Data Centre for Seismology, Denver (NEIC) M
• Magnitude: 6.6 M
• Depth: 47.4 km
• Location (Lat/Long): -6.044 | 151.368
• Country: Papua New Guinea
• Province: East New Britain
• Region: New Britain Region
• UTC/GMT (Greenwich time): 6/16/2011 12:03:40 AM
• Estimated local solar time: 6/16/2011 10:09:08 AM

Population Density near epicenter (people/km²). Image area: 6x4 decimal degrees (approx. 650x450km2).
Earthquake Impact Details

Potentially affected People

<table style="border-collapse:collapse;border:solid 1px #111111" border="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <th colspan="3">

Population Data​

</th> </tr> <tr> <th> Radius (km) </th> <th> Population </th> <th> Density (people/km?) </th> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right"> 1 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 0 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right"> 2 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 0 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right"> 5 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 0 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right"> 10 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 0 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right"> 20 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 0 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right"> 50 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 7901 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 1 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right"> 100 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 40206 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 1 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right"> 200 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 206281 </td> <td style="text-align:right"> 1 </td> </tr> </tbody></table> The population in the area of this earthquake is 1 people/km?.
The earthquake occurred at 10h local time. At this time a day, more people are at work and therefore more vulnerable to collapsing office buildings. During traffic hours, people can be affected by collapsing bridges and other road infrastructure.
Resilience and Vulnerability

Resilience is the capacity of the population to cope with a hazard. Since much of investments in earthquake preparedness and available funds for quick response is related to household income, the GDP per capita can be used as a rough indicator of resilience.
Papua New Guinea has a GDP per capita of 1007 PPP$ (Parity Purchasing Power Dollar, about 1 Euro) and is therefore part of the low level income countries. Therefore, the earthquake happened in an area of low resilience.
Based on the combination of 9 indicators, ECHO attributes Papua New Guinea a medium vulnerability.
<table style="border-collapse:collapse;border:solid 1px #006699" border="1" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <th colspan="2" valign="top"> ECHO Intervention Priority Ranking for Papua New Guinea </th> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center" colspan="2" valign="top"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ECDB88"> Overall situation </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right" valign="top"> Human Development </td> <td style="text-align:center" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right" valign="top"> Human Poverty </td> <td style="text-align:center" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ECDB88"> Exposure to Major Disasters </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right" valign="top"> Natural Disasters </td> <td style="text-align:center" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right" valign="top"> Conflicts </td> <td style="text-align:center" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ECDB88"> Humanitarian effects of population movement </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right" valign="top"> Refugees and IDPs </td> <td style="text-align:center" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ECDB88"> Health of children under five </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right" valign="top"> Undernourishment </td> <td style="text-align:center" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right" valign="top"> Mortality rates </td> <td style="text-align:center" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center" colspan="2" valign="top" bgcolor="#ECDB88"> Other vulnerability factors </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right" valign="top"> Access to health care </td> <td style="text-align:center" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right" valign="top"> Prevalence of HIV, TBC and malaria </td> <td style="text-align:center" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right" valign="top"> Gender-specific Human Development </td> <td style="text-align:center" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:right" valign="top"> Gini Index </td> <td style="text-align:center" valign="top" width="8"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" style="border-left-width:1;border-right-width:1;border-top-style:solid;border-top-width:1;border-bottom-width:1"> Source ECHO
Key: Bad - Medium - Good - No data </td> </tr> </tbody></table> Secondary effects

Probability of secondary effects:

• Landslides: The maximum slope in the area of the earthquake is 49.033% and the maximum altitude is 2074 m. Since this is a medium slope, the risk of earthquake induced landslides is medium. Note, however, that the slope data is not reliable on a local scale, while landslides depend very much on local topography, soil and meteorological conditions.
• Nuclear power plants: There are no nuclear facilities nearby the epicenter.
• Hydrodams: There are no hydrodam facilities nearby the epicenter.

 

<table width="1260" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr style="mso-height-source:userset;height:17.1pt" height="22"><td colspan="12" class="xl118" style="border-right:1.0pt solid silver; height:17.1pt" height="22">รายงานแผ่นดินไหวในประเทศในรอบ 7 วัน</td> <td colspan="5" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl77" style="mso-height-source:userset;height:18.0pt" height="24"> <td colspan="2" rowspan="2" class="xl120" style="border-right:.5pt solid silver; border-bottom:.5pt solid silver;height:36.0pt" height="48">Date</td> <td class="xl78">Time</td> <td colspan="2" class="xl123" style="border-right:.5pt solid silver;border-left: none"> Location</td> <td class="xl79">Depth</td> <td colspan="2" rowspan="2" class="xl125" style="border-right:.5pt solid silver; border-bottom:.5pt solid silver">[FONT=&quot]Magnitude[/FONT]</td> <td colspan="4" rowspan="2" class="xl129" style="border-right:1.0pt solid silver; border-bottom:.5pt solid silver">Region Name</td> <td colspan="5" class="xl77" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl77" style="mso-height-source:userset;height:18.0pt" height="24"> <td class="xl78" style="height:18.0pt" height="24">( Local )</td> <td class="xl78"> Lat</td> <td class="xl80"> Long</td> <td class="xl81">( Km )</td> <td colspan="5" class="xl77" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl77" style="mso-height-source:userset;height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl82" style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> </td> <td class="xl83">เดือนปัจจุบัน</td> <td class="xl84"> </td> <td class="xl85"> </td> <td class="xl85"> </td> <td class="xl85"> </td> <td class="xl85"> </td> <td class="xl85"> </td> <td class="xl85"> </td> <td class="xl85"> </td> <td class="xl85"> </td> <td class="xl86"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl77" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl77" style="mso-height-source:userset;height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl87" style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> </td> <td class="xl88">
</td> <td class="xl89">
</td> <td colspan="8" class="xl76" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> <td class="xl90"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl77" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl77" style="mso-height-source:userset;height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl76" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">
</td> <td class="xl91">13 JUN 11</td> <td class="xl92">00:01:06</td> <td class="xl93">19.220232 N</td> <td class="xl94">98.636034 E</td> <td class="xl95"> </td> <td colspan="2" class="xl135">2.00</td> <td colspan="3" class="xl136">อ.แม่แตง จ.เชียงใหม่</td> <td class="xl90"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl77" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl77" style="mso-height-source:userset;height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td style="height:15.0pt" height="20">
</td> <td class="xl148">
</td> <td colspan="9" class="xl76" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> <td class="xl90"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl77" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl77" style="mso-height-source:userset;height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl76" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">
</td> <td class="xl91">12 JUN 11</td> <td class="xl92">23:56:14</td> <td class="xl93">19.243513 N</td> <td class="xl94">98.641444 E</td> <td class="xl95"> </td> <td colspan="2" class="xl135">1.50</td> <td colspan="3" class="xl136">อ.แม่แตง จ.เชียงใหม่</td> <td class="xl90"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl77" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl77" style="mso-height-source:userset;height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td style="height:15.0pt" height="20">
</td> <td class="xl148">
</td> <td colspan="9" class="xl76" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> <td class="xl90"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl77" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl77" style="mso-height-source:userset;height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl76" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">
</td> <td class="xl91">12 JUN 11</td> <td class="xl92">23:55:08</td> <td class="xl93">19.193239 N</td> <td class="xl94">98.637142 E</td> <td class="xl95"> </td> <td colspan="2" class="xl135">1.30</td> <td colspan="3" class="xl136">อ.แม่แตง จ.เชียงใหม่</td> <td class="xl90"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl77" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl77" style="mso-height-source:userset;height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl147" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">
</td> <td class="xl88">
</td> <td class="xl89">
</td> <td colspan="8" class="xl76" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> <td class="xl90"> </td> <td colspan="5" class="xl77" style="mso-ignore:colspan">
</td> </tr> <tr class="xl77" style="mso-height-source:userset;height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl76" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">
</td> <td class="xl91">12 JUN 11</td> <td class="xl92">03:24:30</td> <td class="xl93">19.005340 N</td> <td class="xl94">97.879496 E</td> <td class="xl95"> </td> <td colspan="2" class="xl135">1.90</td> <td colspan="3" class="xl136">อ.เมืองฮ่องสอน จ.แม่ฮ่องสอน</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"> <tbody><tr><th align="center">MAG </th> <th align="center">UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s </th> <th align="center">LAT
deg </th> <th align="center">LON
deg </th> <th align="center">DEPTH
km </th> <th> Region</th> </tr> <tr><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">MAP</td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap"> 5.0 </td><td valign="top" align="center" nowrap="nowrap">2011/06/17 01:15:34 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> -7.040 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 104.636 </td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap"> 35.2 </td><td valign="top"> SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA</td></tr></tbody> </table>
10-degree Map Centered at 5°S,105°E